Dow rises as vaccine hopes, better than expected earnings buoy stocks

Goldman Sachs (GS) rose but pared gains, after the bank reported much stronger than expected Q2 revenue and held profit steady over last year despite disruptions from the pandemic. The bank’s quarterly investment banking revenue hit a record, and trading revenue more than doubled over last year as both fixed-income and equity trading picked up in the wake of the market run-up since March.

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Still, as with other banks including JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs stashed away an increasing sum in loan-loss provisions during the quarter to brace for potential customer defaults due to the pandemic. CEO David Solomon noted that the economic outlook “remains uncertain,” recapitulating the cautious tone other CEOs have offered in recent reports.

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As someone who hasn't experienced illness or job loss during the pandemic, there is added motivation to save for the unknown. It's impossible to predict what is to come — or when it may be necessary to tap emergency savings.

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The Treasury reveals more about who got small-business loans

The firm, led by its chief global strategist, Peter Berezin, acknowledges the “nervous” tenor of trading patterns right now, but adds: “Nevertheless, we would ‘buy the dip’ if global equities were to fall 5% to 10% from current levels.

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While the pace of reopening will slow, there is little appetite for the sort of extreme lockdown measures that were implemented in March. The U.S. Congress will ultimately extend fiscal support for households and firms. Around the world, both fiscal and monetary policy will remain highly accommodative, which should provide a supportive backdrop for stocks.”

It’s worth noting that the BCA team has gotten at least one big call right recently. In February, right as stocks SPX, +1.58% struck an all-time high, BCA cautioned that investors were likely being too complacent about the possibility of a global pandemic.